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Epidemic modelling : an introduction
Autor: Daley, Daryl J.
Rok: 2001
ISBN: 9780521640794
ISBN: 9780521014670
OKCZID: 110910206
Vydání: 1st pbk. ed.
Citace (dle ČSN ISO 690):
DALEY, Daryl J. Epidemic modelling: an introduction. 1st pbk. ed. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001. xii, 213 s. Cambridge studies in mathematical biology, 15.
Anotace
This general introduction to the mathematical techniques needed to understand epidemiology begins with an historical outline of some disease statistics dating from Daniel Bernoulli's smallpox data of 1760. The authors then go on to describe simple deterministic and stochastic models in continuous and discrete time for epidemics taking place in either homogeneous or stratified (nonhomogeneous) populations. They offer a range of methods for constructing and analyzing models, mostly in the context of viral and bacterial diseases of human populations. These models are contrasted with models for rumors and macro-parasitic diseases. Questions of fitting data to models, and the use of models to understand methods for controlling the spread of infection, are discussed. Exercises and complementary results at the end of each chapter extend the scope of the text.